How red or blue is your state? Charlie We haven't heard yet from Allegheny County, which is also a top source of Democratic votes. Both provided Obama with double-digit margins of victory over McCain. Will Israel Strike Before Iran Buys Russian S-400 Air Defense Systems. According to the NYT, more than 98% of estimated votes there have been reported. If a state is not a red state or a blue state, it might be a swing state . ", "Why the National Popular Vote Compact is Unconstitutional", "Why Blue States Should Exit Red America", "Majority of Trump Voters Want to Split the Nation Into 'Red' and 'Blue' Halves", "Majority of Trump voters believe it's 'time to split the country' in two, new poll finds", "Biden came in to unite, but poll shows US is now more divided than ever", "47% of West Coast Dems, 66% of Southern Republicans want to secede from U.S.", "Shocking poll finds many Americans now want to secede from the United States", "Still miles apart: Americans and the state of U.S. democracy half a year into the Biden presidency | Bright Line Watch", "How People of Faith Voted in the 2008 Presidential Race". FiveThirtyEight's forecast currently expects these states to step slightly to the left in 2020, but there's a lot of uncertainty here, especially in a state like Maine where the error bars. A free app to create, analyze and share redistricting maps for any state. The only deviations from the preexisting red-blue paradigm were all in Obama's favor. [24] Large areas of color appear more saturated than small areas of the same color. We may be entering the brief "blue mirage" portion of the night, where Biden deceptively looks like he's doing well because counties first report the mail ballots they've been counting all day, and Biden supporters disproportionately voted by mail. States that voted against Mr. Trump in 2016 have seen 103,918 deaths, according to the latest New York Times tally on Thursday afternoon, compared with 91,525 in states that supported him. Please help update this article to reflect recent events or newly available information. Anita And in a sign of how important PA is to the race, Biden tried to fend off Trump's attacks over fracking over and over. Voters will also nominate candidates for Congress and the state Legislature. The blue states scored better two ways higher overall average rankings vs. red states (No. Pennsylvania has a long history of being consequential in presidential elections choosing 20 of the last 25 . Further highlighting this polarization: While relatively competitive overall, only four states (FL, NC, OH, VA) were decided by less than 5% popular vote margin in the 2012 presidential election. While there are various techniques available, the choice is essentially arbitrary. Updated on July 09, 2019 Our list of the most conservative states to live and work featured states favorable to people who enjoy greater liberties, educational choice, right-to-work status, and religious freedom. By this definition, Arizona and Georgia are still (slightly) red states R+7.6 and R+7.4, respectively. Live results and analysis from the Jan. 5 Senaterunoffs, White House Correspondent & Associate Editor. It is 62 percent Republican, 25 percent Democrat and 13 percent other. Biden's success could be attributed to many factors. The following list is tabled from the last Presidential Election 2020. So first, I'm looking to see what exactly we learn tonight and how quickly local governments across the state are able to process mail ballots. While all of these issues are concerning, none of them are too far out of the ordinary for issues that arise during any normal election year and this year was far from normal, with many expecting the worst in terms of potential disruptions and possibleconflict.". Cartograms developed by Gastner, Shalizi, and Newman at the University of Michigan provide another way to depict election results,[28] which change from a red-blue paradigm to one of shades of purple.[29]. Pennsylvania was one of the most closely watched states throughout the 2020 election. This election cycle, voters in Pennsylvania were universally able to vote by mail in the general election. These maps give extra visual weight to larger areal units, whether by county or state. Again competitive in 2020, Joe Biden won by 1.2%. The Keystone State became one of the three collapsed Democratic Blue Wall states that handed Trump the election. Counties are colored red or blue when the % expected vote reporting reaches a set threshold. Several incidents will require follow-up byinvestigators. A purple state refers to a swing state where both Democratic and Republican candidates receive many votes without an overwhelming majority for either party. Vertical lines before 1992, 2002, 2012, and 2022 show Census-related redistricting breakpoints. If youre willing to fight for Main Street America, click here to sign up for my free weekly email. The source defines a mass shooting as a shooting where three or more people. In a 2020 update from the Rockefeller Institute, the disparity between traditional blue and red states is even more significant, especially for the state of New York, Republicans' favorite target . Biden won Maricopa with just over 50% of the vote, a large increase compared with Clinton's 45% in 2016. Charlie Many voters in Philly and the suburbs don't like fracking and want to ban it. The terms "red state" and "blue state" have been in familiar lexicon since the 2000 US presidential election. - Matter of Fact with Soledad O'Brien Perhaps no one is better at understanding Pennsylvania voters than former Governor Ed Rendell. That election saw Donald Trump win the state by 0.7%, one of three 'blue wall' states (Michigan & Wisconsin the others) he won on his way to winning the presidential election. Getting at the red mirage idea, if we dont get Atlanta and big GA burbs, and some major blue areas of Wisconsin and Pennsylvania its easy to see Trumps lead holding for now or staying closer than they should end up. During the 2016 presidential election, two districts (the first and second) gave Clinton over 80% and 90% of the vote. Despite the prevalent winner-take-all practice, the minority always gets a sizable vote. Pennsylvanias demographic makeup has not altered dramatically in just four short years. McCain held the more suburban and rural areas of both the red and blue states, while Obama received the large majority of the urban city areas in all the states. Political polarization in the United States, popular vote majority by a double-digit margin, did not receive a plurality of the vote and lost the popular vote, Political ideologies in the United States, "When red meant Democratic and blue was Republican. Various editorials[43][44] have proposed that states of the U.S. secede and then form federations only with states that have voted for the same political party. US County Electoral Map - Land Area vs Population - Engaging Data All states contain considerable amounts of both liberal and conservative voters (i.e., they are "purple") and only appear blue or red on the electoral map because of the winner-take-all system used by most states in the Electoral College. For example, the major center-right conservative parties in the United Kingdom, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, Brazil, Italy, Spain and France all use blue or its shades (whether officially or unofficially) whereas the major socialist, communist, or social democratic parties in each country are associated with red. Again competitive in 2020, Joe Biden won by 1.2%.While still an important prize, with 19 electoral votes, Pennsylvania, like many industrial northern states, has seen population migrate away in recent decades. And West Virginia is losing. Red vs. Blue States: Competing Visions for 2022 and 2024 With 100% of precincts reporting, Trump won the state with . Zirpoli: The states that are givers and takers of federal dollars may The answer, of course, is yes they are both of those. The consent submitted will only be used for data processing originating from this website. Traditionally, the practice of designating a U.S. state as red or blue is based on the first-past-the-post winner-take-all system employed for presidential elections by 48 of the 50 U.S. states and the District of Columbia. Biden didn't flip any counties in Georgia. But two of those five losing states that voted for Trump Michigan and Pennsylvania surprised most analysts since they have been blue-leaners for several years. All Rights Reserved. Special elections, if any, are excluded. However, the current U.S. scheme has become so ingrained in the American election system that foreign sources who cover U.S. elections, such as the BBC, Der Spiegel and El Mundo follow with the red-Republican, blue-Democratic scheme for U.S. The Pennsylvania Senate, on the other hand, has been under consistent Republican control for decades. by The Hill staff - 10/24/14 6:00 AM ET. Joe Biden won back Pennsylvania for Democrats in the 2020 election after President Donald Trump carried the state in 2016. Two counties flipped from red to blue: Erie, in Pennsylvania's northwestern corner, and Northampton, in eastern Pennsylvania. Learn about the meaning of these words and see a list of these states, as of the 2020 election. Likewise, Republicans have elected many statewide officeholders in states that vote strongly Democratic in presidential elections, such as Massachusetts, Illinois, Maryland, Vermont, and New Jersey. Losing Pa would seem to require picking up something bigelsewhere. Redistricting 2021: Red states, blue voters Elaine Kamarck Thursday, September 30, 2021 FixGov After a COVID-19-related delay in getting out the census data, states across the country are now. Turn on desktop notifications for breaking stories about interest? The Hill . 44% of Americans in the South favored secession, with Republican support at 66%; while Democratic support was 47% in the Pacific states.[50][51][52]. [37][38] Nearly half of U.S. voters resided in counties that voted for George W. Bush or John Kerry by 20 percentage points or more in 2004. These are general election results for the years listed. Here are the 10 states with the largest Democratic advantage: Wyoming - R+26 West Virginia - R+23 North Dakota - R+20 Oklahoma - R+20 Your California Privacy Rights/Privacy Policy. Hi everyone from D.C.! ", https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Red_states_and_blue_states&oldid=1142683256, This page was last edited on 3 March 2023, at 20:42. Democrats, including Biden's campaign, spent a ton of money educating voters about this rule to prevent that. US Treasury Yield Curve: My Favorite Investor Tool, click here to sign up for my free weekly email, The Liberal Invasion of Red-State America, DRUGS, TRAFFICKING, MURDER: Americas Immigration Crisis Continues, Vermont Abandoned, Dairy Farm Economy Devastated. DeSantis: Standing Up to Corporate Activism. That made a difference in a state that was ultimately decided by roughly 45,000votes. Data: Wikipedia through 2018; 270toWin research. Thats a point that they made. Taking Biden at face value about Michigan and Wisconsin where, for what it's worth (not that much), the exit poll data looks pretty good for him and he came in with a significant polling lead here's where the map goes: If Biden wins those two, plus Maine, Nevada and Arizona, but nothing else, he's at 269 electoral votes. We identify swing states as. In previous elections, the color assignments or even the actual colors used were often different. Over the last decade, there has been a notable increase in Latinos' share of the overall population in Arizona, up from 25 to 31 percent since 2000. Before you read the Blue States and the Red States list, lets find out how the naming of a state with color started! [9] That same year, a color supplement included with a July issue of The Washington Post used red for Republican-favoring states, blue for Democratic-favoring states, yellow for "doubtful" states and green for territories that did not have a presidential vote.[10]. The Most Liberal States: The Worst Places for Conservatives - ThoughtCo Popular vote data are necessarily aggregated at several levels, such as counties and states, which are then colored to show election results. Special elections, if any, are excluded. The key swing region is the. The state had an additional redistricting before 2018. Although the Electoral College determines the presidential election, a more precise measure of how the country actually voted may be better represented by either a county-by-county or a district-by-district map. These are general election results for the years listed. But in 2016, although Hillary Clinton won Latino voters by roughly 30 points, turnout was remarkably . 2016 Pennsylvania Presidential Election Results You have to beware with these reports, though. Census: Which states gained and which states lost congressional seats Some of our partners may process your data as a part of their legitimate business interest without asking for consent. Not a single Penn county gave Clinton over 60% of the vote. Both campaigns have armies of attorneys at the ready for PA and other states. The advent of color television in America during the late 1950s and early 1960s prompted television news reporters to rely on color-coded electoral maps, though sources conflict as to the conventions they used. China Hopes Recovery Dims Memories of Zero COVID Debacle, Industry Races to Diversify Away from China. President-elect Joe Biden flipped five states from red to blue this election Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona, and Pennsylvania and is expected to flip Georgia, where he leads Trump. V4 Stands Against North African and Middle Eastern Invasion, Robo-Advisors: When You Have a Lot More to Lose than Money, FARM AMERICA: New York Citys Finest Cheesemongers, The Fed Independent and Non Political Joins The Resistance, Tucker Carlson Interviews My Favorite Florida Farmer. Redistricting 2021: Red states, blue voters - Brookings But what they didn't realize was that Trump was surging in rural parts of the state and flipping some swing counties like the ones mentionedabove. By Allan James Vestal, Andrew Briz, Annette Choi, Beatrice Jin, Andrew McGill and Lily Mihalik. Update on Election Day in Philadelphia from the DA's office here: "As of 9:00 p.m. on Tuesday, 68 incidents were reported to the Election Task Force and 67 incidents were peacefully resolved. Connecticut, Maryland, Delaware, New York and Pennsylvaniaare also among the ten densest states in the US. Some election maps, however, have violated this tradition by simply coloring each areal unit with a red-blue mixture linked to voting ratio dataresulting in an "unclassified choropleth map". 22 vs. 27th) and better average grades in eight of the 14 separate ranking topics: livability, rai PUBLISHED: November 5, 2020 at 11:39 a.m. | UPDATED: November 5, 2020 at 7:29 p.m. Pennsylvania's continued ballot count from the general election showed the state possibly flipping from red to . Out of. [47][48][49] A different poll that same year grouped the United States into five geographic regions, and found that 37% of Americans favored secession of their own region. I feel like my job this entire night might be explaining why #nothingmatters inPA. ", For example, Holly, one example from Jen OMalley Dillon, Bidens campaign manager, that implied they were still counting on Pa could be seen in this quote. Out of the counties in these states that Hillary Clinton lost in 2016, Biden won only eight of them. Will Pennsylvania be red or blue in 2020? elections. The state's 20 electoral votes could be pivotal in the 2020 race. Is Wisconsin a red state? CATO INSTITUTE: Central Bank Digital Currencies Are a Threat to Freedom. 2020 US Presidential Election Results: Live Map - ABC News It feels like the new Florida. Traditional political mapmakers, at least throughout the 20th century, had used blue to represent the modern-day Republicans, as well as the earlier Federalist Party. Election results provided by the Associated Press. Robert Vanderbei at Princeton University made the first Purple America map after the 2000 presidential election. Also, theres a run off in Georgia so you may have two strikes incorrect. The next batch will be reported at 9 a.m. (I am deleting my post earlier that said Philly officials said they were not reporting more mail-in results tonight, because it appears to have been based on incomplete information.

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