Powers, Golf Digest: Davis Riley (+650, DraftKings) Riley has fallen out of favor with the gambling community of late thanks to some so-so results, but his irons have still been cooking. It should be a birdie-fest this week when several of the world's top golfers descend on La Quinta, Calif. for the PGA Tour's 2023 American Express. Released Wednesday. Gambling problem? His form is great, ranking second in the field for SG/total over the last two years and 11th for SG/total over the last two months. Betting Preview for the Euro Tour: A quick hitter article for some Euro Tour action provided by both Ben Rasa and Jason Rouslin. Set a budget. Sanderson Farms Championship: Sam Burns. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Kevin Streelman (+900, Bet365) The off-the-tee and approach numbers are top 15 in this field over the past 24 rounds, per Fantasy National, so Streelman should give himself plenty of chances. Get 50% off your first week or month with promo code SCORE, In-Season Data & Tools (may require NFL Express or higher), Draft Season Data & Tools (may require Draft Kit). Golf Predictions. Its a stat line that is full of red flags. In addition, McClure's best bets included Collin Morikawa winning outright at the 2021 Open Championship, even though he was listed as a massive 40-1 long shot. Jhonattan Vegas ($8,600 DraftKings | $10,100 FanDuel). At the 2022 Masters, McClure's model was all over Scottie Scheffler's first career major championship victory heading into the weekend. He tends to thrive when conditions get more difficult, which will be expected at PGA National this week. Scheffler has four straight top-10 finishes, including a runner-up at the Hero World Challenge.You can see who he is backing this week at The American Express 2023 at SportsLine. All Rights Reserved. That will undoubtedly change soon, but Im not ready to bet on it at single-digit odds. Hennessey: Viktor Hovland An easy case to make to roll with the two-time defending champ. 2 Scottie Scheffler, Patrick Cantlay and Jon Rahm among the top names. One of the most accurate players in the field and always seems to make the putts he should. GolfDigest panel: Will Zalatoris (4), Rory McIlroy, Xander Schauffele, Collin Morikawa Popular Types of Golf Betting Odds Types of bets and how to read the odds (Photo by Katharine Lotze/Getty Images). Im is clearly the class of this field, and hes a past champion for good reason. Poston +5000Sahith Theegala +5000Adam Hadwin +5000Andrew Putnam +5500K.H. Per stats guru Justin Ray, only two other players have pulled off the rare accomplishment in the past 40 years on tour. The Scotsman ranks seventh in the field this week for Opportunities Gained over the last two months and this is the exact style of course where Knox can start taking these opportunities. and synopsis provided by Jason Rouslin. Tom Kim ($8,400 DraftKings | $9,800 FanDuel). The ball striking? Toss in four par 5s and scoring conditions during which par will feel like a red number, and it wont matter much that his putting unlikely will impress. Picks Learn the game and know the odds. Todd also comes into the event ranked 12th for Opportunities Gained over the last two months and 20th for SG/total over the last two months. How it works: Each week, our experts from PGATOUR.COM will make their selections in PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf. Theres plenty more where that came from. Hes been good not great, but we are being asked to pay for greatness at this price tag. Hovland stepped up to the tee at the par-3 No. Affiliate Program Refer Friends & Earn! Hes now giving strokes back to the field on the putting surfaces in seven of his past nine measured starts. Svensson rebounded from MCs at Torrey Pines and Phoenix with a T-9 at Riviera, and hell find a reprieve in this field. Listen to Golf Digest's weekly betting podcast, "The Loop" (above) where we interview the industry's leading experts (and sometimes tour pros) to help you make your bets and pick your fantasy lineups. 1, who has gone eighth-11th in his last two starts, seemingly out of nowhere. While that sounds great, its likely unsustainable. He also was among the turnarounds at the Honda a T29, easily his best effort in five starts in 2023. Golf course Bay Hill Club and Lodge | Par 72 | 7,466 yards Course comparisons (according to He got his first career victory less than a month later and finished the season with four. Those serve as his only two top-15 finishes over his past 14 starts. His best finish was a seventh-place finish in 2021, so he should be brimming with good vibes here. Hes played well at Bay Hill the last two years, but he was in much better lead-in form. Course History Cheatsheet: A look at the entire fields history at the current weeks course. section: | slug: arnold-palmer-invitational-2023-props-odds-field-expert-head-to-head-golf-matchup-picks-pga-best-bets | sport: golf | route: article_single.us | Hes accomplished both on and around the greens, which gives him the highest upside and most well-rounded golfer teeing it up. Course Fit(compares golf courses based on the degree to which different golfer attributes such as driving distance to predict who performs well at each course DataGolf): 1. Bermuda: Russell Knox. Day, a 12-time PGA Tour winner, has three straight top-10 finishes and has yet to finish worse than 18th place in 2023. Gdula: Tony Finau (-118) over Aaron Wise (FanDuel) Finau is by far the best in the field over the past 20 rounds, and even using past-year data with recency adjustments, my head-to-head model thinks Finau should be around -135 in this matchup over Wise. Gdula also co-hosts the DFS Heat Check podcast. Though he was never really at the top on Sunday with a chance to win, he played great in the runner-up finish and that should translate to another chance to win here. This season, Zalatoris ranks 28th in birdie percentage, while his partner, Riley, is tied for 23rd. 1 Scottie Scheffler. We picked our first winner of the new season at the CJ Cup, with Lee Alldrick correctly predicting Rory McIlroys victory at Congaree at 7-1. Both of those weeks ended in a top 10 for Todd. Sungjae Im ($10,700 DraftKings | $11,900 FanDuel). Bay Hill also had the longest set of par-3 lengths on average in non-major courses last year. Ryan Palmer has a new partner this time around after playing with Jon Rahm for the past few seasons (and Jordan Spieth before him). Hes gained strokes with his putter in 12 straight starts so if he can strike it well again, hell be in line for a great finish. https://sportsbookwire.usatoday.com/category/pga-odds-lines-picks-predictions, PGA Tour odds, lines, picks and predictions, NFL Fantasy Football Rankings, Sleepers and Analysis, Jeff Overton odds, tips and betting trends for the Puerto Rico Open, Ludvig Aberg odds, tips and betting trends for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, Roberto Diaz odds, tips and betting trends for the Puerto Rico Open, Eric Axley odds, tips and betting trends for the Puerto Rico Open, Seonghyeon Kim odds, tips and betting trends for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, Will Zalatoris odds, tips and betting trends for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, Justin Thomas odds, tips and betting trends for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, Min Woo Lee odds, tips and betting trends for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, Ben Taylor odds, tips and betting trends for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, Ryan Palmer odds, tips and betting trends for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, Aaron Rai odds, tips and betting trends for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, Eric Cole odds, tips and betting trends for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, J.J. 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Draft Wingman for DraftKings, Yahoo, ESPN, CBS, FFPC & More, Simulate your Fantasy Football Draft Against Awesemo's AI, The Fantasy Football Rankings Cheatsheet Hub, Breakouts, Sleepers, Deep Sleepers, and Busts, PGA DFS Rankings for DraftKings, FanDuel & Yahoo, Fantasy Golf: PGA DFS Projections for DraftKings, FanDuel, and Yahoo, PGA DFS Projections for Showdown and Weekend Daily Fantasy Golf, Top Golfers Tool PGA DFS Simulation Results for DraftKings, FanDuel and Yahoo, PGA Weather Splits for Daily Fantasy Golf and Betting, Daily Fantasy Golf: Power Rankings and Matchups, PGA DFS Pro Plays for Fantasy Golf Lineups on DraftKings + FanDuel. His short game has been tidy, gaining strokes around-the-green in five of his last seven starts while gaining strokes with his putter in seven straight. picks Adam Svensson ($8,700 DraftKings | $10,200 FanDuel). This same model has also nailed a whopping eight majors entering the weekend. Thatll be very useful around Torrey Pines this week. Here are the stats you should be paying attention to. One surprising pick from McDonald this week: The expert is strongly fading Schauffele, who could struggle even if he is healthy. Six straight made cuts for the Belgian, including four finishes of 12th or better. Hopefully he can ride his sterling swing-season form, pick up another win and make things right with El Tucan. ): 1. Hickok snapped a streak of eight straight missed cuts with a T-29 at The Genesis Invitational. His best finish over nine starts is a T-26 and hes the only golfer in the field who has played at least 30 rounds here and is losing strokes to the field. Byeong Hun An (+550 = Top 20) After slotting at No. I like the consistency of Rai here in a matchup as a slight favorite. Alldrick, FanShare Sports: Scottie Scheffler (9-1, DraftKings) This price is too low for someone who has played just one event in the last nine weeks. Hes had the best short game of anyone in this field over the past 50 rounds, so that should no longer be a concern. Collin Morikawa ($9,500 DraftKings | $11,400 FanDuel). Caddie: Aaron Wise (+220, Bet365) Wise has gone 10th, MC, second and 15th in his last four trips to Mayakoba, and hes coming off his third top-15 finish in his last four starts. Hell need to rebound quickly, but against this field and with that recent stat profile, there are obvious concerns rostering him despite his upside. Its not surprising then to see that he ranks fourth in the FanShareSports Course Suitability Ranking this week. As the Florida swing continues, the PGA Tour heads to Bay Hill Club and Lodge in Orlando for the Arnold Palmer Invitational, the third designated event in four weeks. Trinity Forest Golf Club, 3. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns. The guy has kept the hot streak going in casual rounds, as our guy Doug Smith can attest to, and so I think this is the perfect, low-key field for Finau to add yet another W. Christopher Powers, Golf Digest assistant editor: Tom Hoge (30-1, DraftKings) Hoge is absolutely tearing it up this Fall, finishing T-13 or better in all four starts hes made. 7 and sank one of the most beautiful aces youll ever see. World No. This week, the PGA Tour is in Detroit for the Rocket Mortgage Classic at Detroit Golf Club, a track designed by Donald Ross. Rai is one of the worst Bermudagrass putters in the field, and hes lost strokes on approach in four of his past five starts. TPC Louisiana | Par 72 | 7,425 yards | Pete Dye design, TPC Louisiana in Avondale, Louisiana. One of McClure's favorite prop bet picks this week at the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 is veteran Jason Day to finish in the top-20 of the final leaderboard at +125 odds (risk $100 to win $125). NOT GREAT, BOB!!!! Hes riskier than some of his similarly priced peers, but the upside is undeniable. His usually reliable driver has let him down, and he hasnt been as precise on his second shots. Corey Conners ($7,800 DraftKings | $9,500 FanDuel). Hes already proven that it works at Bay Hill, too. Heres what we know: Hes likely to be a great ball-striker, like he was at Riviera, where he gained 13 strokes in the ball-striking categories, and he has gained in 19 of his past 22 measured starts. The PGA Tour is headed to TPC Louisiana for the Zurich Classic, a team event where the format of play rotates between best ball and alternate shot. World No. The 2023 calendar year hasnt started the way Wise would have liked, and hell enter this week coming off back-to-back missed cuts. Finishing T-50 in Phoenix and T-45 in Los Angeles are certainly not bad results, but they will look bad compared to the high standards that Kim has provided us in his first nine months on tour. The Chicagoland native has been playing fantasy golf since 1994, so he was just waiting for the Internet to catch up with him. Take me to the Rocket League category page! Mayakoba picks 2022: Morikawa or Finau? Our experts Kuchar has also gained strokes in all three tee-to-green stats in both starts this season but has uncharacteristically lost strokes putting. Lee Alldrick of FanShare Sports started out writing an article highlighting the best bargain plays for fantasy golf under his twitter handle @DKGolfBargains. Prizepicks + Stokastic Promo Get a Free Month! Xander Schauffele Betting Odds Remain for Tournament of Champions Despite WD Reports. Hes played at Bay Hill each of the last three years and hasnt finished worse than T-20. Hes now played 12 times this season, making the cut in 10 starts while earning six finishes of T-32 or better. Will Zalatoris tees off on the tenth during the third round of the World Golf Championships-Dell Technologies Match Play golf tournament. Fitzpatrick has been candid about dealing with a neck injury over the course of the past few weeks. Get Golf picks Since 2016, hes 6-for-6 in the API with a T10 in 2019. And which massive long shot has a chance to stun the golfing world? Released Tuesday. Expert Picks: The Open Championship - PGATour Copyright 2023 PGA TOUR, Inc. All rights reserved. Listen to Golf Digest's weekly betting podcast, "The Loop" (above), where we interview the industry's leading experts (and sometimes tour pros) to help you make your bets and pick your fantasy lineups. Since 2016, hes 6-for-6 in the API with a T10 in 2019. The odds are a bit too long as a result. Every year, theres a contingent of native and resident Southeasterners who find a return to bermuda greens as comfortable as sliding on a favorite T-shirt. Hes been quiet of late but he still connected for a T11 at PGA West, and we can count on him to find fairways at Bay Hill. The uncommon paspalum greens could level the playing field for him as a putter, and that could boost him up big time. We run 1000s simulations for every PGA Tour event to predict the most likely outcomes and find value against the sportsbooks. Anonymous Caddie Picker of the week: Collin Morikawa (18-1, DraftKings) The results may not reflect it, but he seems to be rounding back into form. 2023 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am First Round Leader Picks: Does Matthew NeSmith Still Own Pebble Beach? Listen to Golf Digest's weekly betting podcast, "The Loop" (above), where we interview the industry's leading experts (and sometimes tour pros) to help you make His iron play has been downright putrid, and Im not sure he can sustain gaining six strokes on the greens like he has the last two starts. The pair of Cameron Smith and Marc Leishman enter as the defending champions, while the betting favorites are Viktor Hovland and Collin Morikawa (+600). Rick Gehman is the founder of RickRunGood.com and the RickRunGood YouTube Channel, is one of the industrys leading experts on golf DFS and gambling. Hovland on the other hand comes into this event looking to complete the hat trick of wins here in the space of three years. (Subscribe for video or audio.) Alldrick, FanShare Sports: Russell Knox (+750, DraftKings) Knox comes into this event ranked 18th in the FanShareSports Course Suitability Ranking this week so its not surprising to see that he already has three top-10 finishes to his name here at El Camaleon. His stat profile is full of inconsistency, and his inaccuracy off-the-tee could lead to big numbers in Florida this week. Its his fifth payday in as many starts in 2023 but first start in three weeks. Jon Rahm +700Rory McIlroy +950Scottie Scheffler +1100Max Homa +1900Collin Morikawa +2100Justin Thomas +2300Xander Schauffele +2400Will Zalatoris +2400Tony Finau +2800Patrick Cantlay +2800Jason Day +3100Viktor Hovland +3100Tyrrell Hatton +3600Matthew Fitzpatrick +3600Sungjae Im +4100Jordan Spieth +4100Cameron Young +4600Sam Burns +4800Tom Kim +5000Sahith Theegala +5500Hideki Matsuyama +5500Keith Mitchell +5500Chris Kirk +6500Shane Lowry +6500Corey Conners +7000Tommy Fleetwood +7000Keegan Bradley +7500Adam Scott +8500Billy Horschel +8500Rickie Fowler +8500Justin Rose +9000Adam Hadwin +9000Seamus Power +9000Gary Woodland +9000Min Woo Lee +11000Luke List +11000Taylor Montgomery +11000Tom Hoge +12000Wyndham Clark +12000Christiaan Bezuidenhout +12000Aaron Wise +12000Alex Noren +12000Ryan Fox +13000Si Woo Kim +13000Lucas Herbert +14000Nick Taylor +14000Adrian Meronk +15000Thomas Detry +16000Russell Henley +16000Brian Harman +17000Beau Hossler +17000Sepp Straka +18000K.H.

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